After the caucus in Nevada and the primary in South Carolina, we are starting to see a bit clearer what everyones chances are. The clear frontrunner is Bernie Sanders. However , frontrunners don’t always win the race.

He is still facing a difficult path towards the nomination, not in the least because the Democratic Party will do everything in its power to stop him. Bernie supporters have not forgotten how the establishment , through the system of superdelegates, basically made it impossible for Hillary Clinton to not be the nominee. This time around , superdelegates only come into play in a second roud of voting at the convention. If Bernie Sandrs gets the 1991 delegates vote he needs, there is nothing that the party can do to stop him. If he falls short of that number, they will gang up on him.

After Iowa and New Hampshire the DNC already changed the rules for getting an invite to the debates. Suddenly the minimum number of donors is no longer a requirement , so Michael Bloomberg could go up on stage. Funny to see him in the debate before the Nevada caucus, while he is not even on the ballot. The centrist lane was already crowded and another one in the mix will only help Sanders to sprint away at the left side of the road. And after Nevada, his lane just got broader.

Bernie needs 2 things to win the 1991 votes. He needs to own the left and the center has to be divided. That way, getting 30% or 40% of the vote might get you enough delegates. You want to know how to do that. Ask the grandmaster. You can find him in Pennsylvania Avenue 1600, Or Mar-a-Lago, Florida.

How will they try to stop him?

Suddenly Elisabeth Warren seems to have a lot of cash. If they can keep her in the race to take away progressive votes from Sanders, less likely he is to to the 1991 delegates required. Surely all the donors for Elisabeth Warren must know by now she can’t win.

Secondly, less people taking away moderate votes. That is why Buttigieg and Steyer have quit before Super Tuesday. They will be replaced by Bloomberg, who now enters the race and will probably pick up a few delegates. Joe Biden looks like the big challenger for Bernie Sanders now. Sanders has to have as many delegates as the rest of the field combined. He will need big margins on Tuesday to do that. The DNC are digging a hole for themselves. When Senator Sanders congratulated Biden for his win in South Carolina, the crowd was booing. They will not stand for it, and the DNC can forget that these people will support Joe Biden in the end.